Canada Imports More Vehicles from Mexico Than U.S. for First Time in 30 Years

Ottawa · August 2025 — CanadaToday.online

For the first time in three decades, Canada has imported more vehicles from Mexico than from the United States, marking a significant shift in North America’s auto trade dynamics. According to newly released trade data, Canadian imports of Mexican-made vehicles surged in the first half of 2025, surpassing imports from U.S. automakers that have traditionally dominated the Canadian market.

A Historic Shift in Auto Trade

For more than 30 years, the United States has been Canada’s largest supplier of imported vehicles, supported by deeply integrated supply chains and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), now replaced by the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). However, the latest figures show Mexico exported more passenger vehicles and light trucks to Canada than the U.S., highlighting Mexico’s growing role as a powerhouse in North American auto manufacturing.

Why Mexico Is Gaining Ground

Analysts point to several reasons for the shift:

  • Lower Production Costs – Mexico’s competitive labor market and investment-friendly policies have attracted global automakers, including GM, Ford, Stellantis, Volkswagen, and Toyota, to expand operations there.
  • Supply Chain Strategy – Automakers are diversifying their supply chains after years of pandemic-related disruptions. Direct shipments from Mexico to Canada are becoming more efficient.
  • U.S. Tariffs & Trade Tensions – Recent U.S. tariff hikes on certain auto components have made American-made vehicles more expensive to export, tilting Canadian buyers toward Mexican imports.
  • Consumer Demand – Canadians are increasingly purchasing smaller, fuel-efficient vehicles and SUVs, many of which are produced in Mexico.

Implications for Canada

While this milestone reflects the adaptability of North America’s auto industry, it also raises questions about the future of Canadian–U.S. trade relations. The Canadian government has emphasized that CUSMA ensures fair competition, but industry experts warn that U.S. automakers could face long-term challenges if Mexico continues to expand its share of the Canadian market.

Canadian dealers say the shift is not just about numbers but about product availability and price stability. With Canadian consumers seeking affordable options amid inflationary pressures, Mexico’s competitive exports are filling the gap. If the trend continues, Mexico may cement its role as Canada’s second-largest vehicle supplier ahead of the U.S. for years to come.